Nūhou

Ua piʻi iki ʻo Spot Gold i ke kālepa mua ʻana o ʻAsia e kūʻai kokoke i $1,922 i ka auneke. Poʻalua (Malaki 15) - ua hoʻomau ka emi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai gula i ka wā i hōʻemi ai nā kūkākūkā hoʻopau kaua Lūkini-Ukraine i ke koi no nā waiwai palekana a me nā pili e hoʻokiʻekiʻe paha ka Federal Reserve i nā uku paneʻe no ka manawa mua i loko o ʻekolu mau makahiki i hoʻohui ʻia i ke kaomi ma luna o ka metala.

ʻO ke kumukūʻai Spot Gold ma hope loa he $1,917.56 i ka auneke, i lalo he $33.03, a i ʻole 1.69 pakeneka, ma hope o ka paʻi ʻana i kahi kiʻekiʻe o kēlā me kēia lā o $1,954.47 a me ka haʻahaʻa o $1,906.85.
Ua pani ʻia ʻo Comex April Gold Futures i lalo he 1.6 pakeneka ma $1,929.70 i ka auneke, ʻo ia ka pani haʻahaʻa loa mai Malaki 2. Ma Ukraine, ua hoʻokau ke kapikala ʻo Kiev i kahi curfew 35 hola mai ka hola 8pm manawa kūloko ma hope o ka hoʻouka ʻana o nā missile Lūkini i kekahi mau hale noho ma ke kūlanakauhale. Ua mālama nā Lūkini a me nā Ukrainians i kahi pōʻai ʻehā o nā kūkākūkā ma ka Pōʻakahi, me ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka Pōʻalua. I kēia manawa, ke kokoke mai nei kahi lā palena no ka lawelawe ʻaiʻē. Manawa kūloko Pōʻalua ʻO Podolyak, ke kākāʻōlelo no ke keʻena o ka Pelekikena Ukrainia, ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia e hoʻomau ʻia nā kūkākūkā Lūkini-Ukrainia i ka lā ʻapōpō a he mau kūʻē koʻikoʻi i nā kūlana o nā ʻelele ʻelua i nā kūkākūkā, akā aia kahi hiki ke kuʻikahi. Ua hālāwai ka pelekikena Ukrainia ʻo Zelenskiy i ka Pōʻalua me ke Kuhina Nui Polani ʻo Morawitzky, ke Kuhina Nui Czech ʻo Fiala a me ke Kuhina Nui o Slovenia ʻo Jan Sha. Ma mua o ka lā, ua hōʻea nā kuhina nui ʻekolu i Kiev. Ua ʻōlelo ke keʻena o ke Kuhina Nui Polani ma kāna pūnaewele e kipa aku nā kuhina nui ʻekolu iā Kiev i ka lā hoʻokahi me nā ʻelele o ka ʻAha Kūkākūkā ʻEulopa a hui pū me ka Pelekikena Ukrainia ʻo Zelenskiy a me ke Kuhina Nui Shimegal.

Ua piʻi a kokoke i kahi kiʻekiʻe o ka moʻolelo o $5 i ka pule i hala i ka wā i hoʻouna aku ai ʻo Rusia i Ukraine i nā kumukūʻai waiwai e piʻi nui ana, e hoʻoweliweli ana i ka ulu haʻahaʻa a me ke kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe, ma mua o ka hāʻule ʻana. Mai ia manawa, ua hāʻule nā ​​​​kumukūʻai o nā waiwai nui, me ka ʻaila, e hoʻomaha ana i kēlā mau hopohopo. Ua piʻi aʻe ke gula i kēia makahiki ma muli o kona hoʻopiʻi ʻana ma ke ʻano he pale kūʻē i ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai mea kūʻai. ʻIke ʻia he mau mahina o ka kuhi ʻana e pili ana i ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku hou e piʻi ana i ka Pōʻakolu, i ka wā e manaʻo ʻia ai ka Fed e hoʻomaka e hoʻopaʻa i ke kulekele. E ʻimi ka Fed e kāohi i nā makahiki he ʻumi o ka hoʻonui kiʻekiʻe i hoʻoulu ʻia e nā kumukūʻai waiwai kiʻekiʻe. "ʻO nā manaʻolana nāwaliwali e hiki i nā kamaʻilio ma waena o Ukraine a me Rusia ke hoʻopau i nā haunaele i hoʻopau i ke koi no ke gula," wahi a Ricardo Evangelista, ka mea loiloi kiʻekiʻe ma ActivTrades. Ua hoʻohui ʻo Evangelista, ʻoiai ua mālie iki nā kumukūʻai gula, ke ulu nei ke kūlana ma Ukraine a hiki ke kiʻekiʻe ka volatility o ka mākeke a me ka maopopo ʻole. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Naeem Aslam, ka mea loiloi mākeke nui ma Ava Trade, ma kahi memo "Ua hāʻule nā ​​​​kumukūʻai gula i nā lā ʻekolu i hala iho nei, ʻo ka hapa nui ma muli o ka hāʻule ʻana o nā kumukūʻai aila," me ka hoʻohui ʻana i kekahi mau lono maikaʻi e emi ana paha ka hoʻonui ʻana. Ua hoʻokuʻu aku ka Pōʻalua i kahi hōʻike e hōʻike ana ua piʻi ikaika ka US Producer Price Index Price Index i Pepeluali ma muli o ke kiʻekiʻe o nā kumukūʻai waiwai, e hōʻike ana i nā kaomi inflationary a ke kau nei i ke kahua no ka Fed e hoʻokiʻekiʻe i nā uku paneʻe i kēia pule.

Ua hoʻonohonoho ʻia ke gula e hāʻule no ke kolu o ka hālāwai i ka lālani, ʻo ia paha kona kaʻina nalowale lōʻihi loa mai ka hopena o Ianuali. Manaʻo ʻia ka Fed e hoʻonui i nā kumukūʻai hōʻaiʻē ma 0.25 mau helu pakeneka i ka hopena o kāna hālāwai ʻelua lā ma ka Pōʻakolu. Ua hoʻouna ka hoʻolaha e hiki mai ana i nā hua kālā 10 makahiki i luna a kau i ke kaomi ma luna o nā kumukūʻai gula i ka wā e hoʻonui ai nā uku paneʻe US kiʻekiʻe i ke kumukūʻai manawa kūpono o ka paʻa ʻana i ke gula paʻa ʻole. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Ole Hansen, ka mea loiloi ma Saxo Bank: "ʻO ka piʻi mua ʻana o nā uku paneʻe US ʻo ia hoʻi ka haʻahaʻa no ke gula, no laila e ʻike mākou i nā hōʻailona a lākou e hoʻouna ai i ka lā ʻapōpō a pehea ka hawkish o kā lākou mau ʻōlelo, kahi e hoʻoholo ai i ka nānā pōkole." Ua piʻi ʻo Spot Palladium i 1.2 pakeneka e kālepa ma $2,401. Ua hāʻule ʻo Palladium i 15 pakeneka ma ka Pōʻakahi, ʻo ia kona hāʻule nui loa i ʻelua mau makahiki, i ka wā i emi ai nā hopohopo lako. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Hansen he mākeke illiquid loa ʻo Palladium a ʻaʻole i pale ʻia i ka wā i huki ʻia ai ke kumukūʻai kaua ma ka mākeke waiwai. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Vladimir Potanin, ka mea kuleana nui loa ma ka mea hana nui, ʻo MMC Norilsk Nickel PJSC, e mālama ana ka hui i nā mea hoʻokuʻu aku ma o ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke ala ʻoiai ke hoʻopilikia ʻia nā pilina ea me ʻEulopa a me ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa. Ua kāpae ka ʻAhahui ʻEulopa i kāna uku hoʻopaʻi hou loa ma nā mea hoʻokuʻu aku i ka honua laha ʻole i Rusia.

Ua hoʻopau ka US S & p 500 index i kahi kaʻina nalowale ʻekolu lā, e kālele ana i ka hoʻoholo kulekele a ka Federal Reserve.

Ua piʻi aʻe nā kumukūʻai o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa i ka Pōʻalua, e hoʻopau ana i kahi kaʻina nalowale ʻekolu lā, ʻoiai ua hāʻule hou nā kumukūʻai aila a ua piʻi aʻe nā kumukūʻai mea hana o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa ma lalo o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, e kōkua ana i ka hoʻomaha ʻana i nā hopohopo a nā mea hoʻopukapuka e pili ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana o ke kumukūʻai, ua huli ka manaʻo i ka ʻōlelo kulekele e hiki mai ana a ka Fed. Ma hope o ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai Brent Crude ma luna o $139 i ka barela i ka pule i hala, ua noho ka Pōʻalua ma lalo o $100, e hāʻawi ana i kahi hōʻoluʻolu manawa pōkole i nā mea hoʻopukapuka equity. Ua kaumaha ʻia nā waihona i kēia makahiki e ka piʻi ʻana o nā makaʻu i ka hoʻonui ʻana o ke kumukūʻai, ka maopopo ʻole e pili ana i ke ala o ke kulekele a ka Fed e kāohi i ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai a me ka piʻi ʻana o ka hakakā ma Ukraine. I ka pani ʻana o ka Pōʻalua, ua piʻi aʻe ka Dow Jones Industrial Average he 599.1 mau helu, a i ʻole 1.82 pakeneka, ma 33,544.34, ua piʻi aʻe ka S & P 500 he 89.34 mau helu, a i ʻole 2.14 pakeneka, ma 4,262.45, a ua piʻi aʻe ka NASDAQ he 367.40, a i ʻole 2.92% i 12,948.62. Ua piʻi aʻe ka US producer Price Index i Pepeluali ma muli o ka ʻaila a me ka meaʻai, a ke manaʻo ʻia nei ke kaua me Ukraine e alakaʻi i nā loaʻa hou aʻe ma hope o ka ikaika o ka Producer Price Index i Pepeluali, i hoʻoulu ʻia e ka piʻi nui ʻana o nā kumukūʻai no nā waiwai e like me ka ʻaila, ke manaʻo ʻia nei e piʻi hou aʻe ka helu kuhikuhi i ka wā e lilo ai ka ʻaila maka a me nā waiwai ʻē aʻe i mea pipiʻi ma hope o ke kaua a Rusia ma Ukraine. Ua piʻi aʻe ka noi hope loa no nā kumukūʻai mea hana i 0.8 pakeneka i Pepeluali mai ka mahina ma mua, ma hope o ka piʻi ʻana o 1.2 pakeneka i Ianuali. Ua piʻi aʻe nā kumukūʻai waiwai i 2.4%, ʻo ia ka piʻi nui loa mai Dekemaba 2009. Ua piʻi aʻe nā kumukūʻai ʻaila kūʻai nui i 14.8 pakeneka, e helu ana i kahi kokoke i 40 pakeneka o ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai waiwai. Ua lele ka producer Price Index i 10 pakeneka i Pepeluali mai ka makahiki ma mua, e like me nā manaʻolana o nā loea waiwai a like me Ianuali. ʻAʻole hōʻike nā helu i ka piʻi nui ʻana o ke kumukūʻai o nā waiwai e like me ka ʻaila a me ka palaoa ma hope o ka hoʻouka kaua ʻana o Rusia iā Ukraine ma Pepeluali 24. E hoʻouna pinepine ʻia ka PPI i CPI i loko o ʻekolu mahina. ʻO ka ʻikepili PPI kiʻekiʻe i Pepeluali ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa e hōʻike ana aia nō kahi no ka piʻi hou ʻana o CPI, kahi mea i manaʻo ʻia e huki i nā mea hoʻopukapuka kālā e kūʻai i ke gula e hakakā i ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o ke kumukūʻai, ka hoihoi lōʻihi i nā kumukūʻai gula. Eia nō naʻe, ua hoʻohui ka ʻikepili i kekahi kaomi ma luna o ka Fed e hoʻokiʻekiʻe i nā uku hoihoi.

Ua hōʻemi nui nā mea kūʻai aku i kā lākou mau pipi kālā i kēia makahiki, a me he mea lā ʻaʻole i maopopo loa i nā mea kūʻai aku i nā hoʻololi kālā haole e hiki ke hoʻopaʻa ʻia ka piʻi ʻana o ke kālā no ka manawa lōʻihi, ʻo ka ikaika o ke kālā i hoʻokele ʻia e nā kahe pilikia e pili ana i ke kaua a me nā manaʻolana e hoʻopaʻa ka fed i ke kulekele - hiki ke loaʻa hou ka momentum. Ua hoʻemi nā kālā leveraged i kā lākou mau kūlana lōʻihi holoʻokoʻa e kūʻē i ke kālā e kūʻē i nā kālā nui ma mua o ʻelua hapakolu i kēia makahiki, e like me ka ʻikepili mai ke komisina kālepa futures waiwai e like me Malaki 8. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ua piʻi ke kālā i loko o ia wā, e piʻi ana ma kahi o 3 pakeneka ma ka Bloomberg Dollar Index, ʻoiai ua emi iki nā pilikia e pili ana iā Ukraine a me nā manaʻolana o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana o ka panakō waena, ua hana maikaʻi ʻole nā ​​​​​​mea hoʻokūkū transatlantic mai ka euro a i ka krona Suedena. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Jack McIntyre, Luna Hoʻokele Portfolio ma Brandywine Global Investment Management, inā e hoʻomau ʻia ke kaua ma Ukraine a ʻaʻole e laha i nā ʻāina ʻē aʻe, e emi paha ke kākoʻo o ke kālā no ke koi palekana. ʻAʻole hoʻi ʻo ia i manaʻoʻiʻo e hana nui nā hana hoʻopaʻa maoli o ka Fed e kōkua i ke kālā. Ua kaumaha ʻo ia i kēia manawa i nā kālā. "Ua ʻoi aku ka nui o nā mākeke ma mua o ka Fed," wahi āna. Mai kahi kuanaʻike kulekele kālā, hōʻike nā mea i hala mua i ka mōʻaukala ua kokoke paha ke kālā i kona kiʻekiʻe loa. Wahi a ka ʻikepili mai ka Federal Reserve a me ka Bank for International Settlements mai ka makahiki 1994, ua nāwaliwali ke kālā ma ka awelika o 4.1 pakeneka i nā pōʻaiapuni hoʻopaʻa ʻehā ma mua o ke kōmike mākeke wehe pekelala.

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Englander ua manaʻo ʻo ia e hōʻailona ka Fed i kahi piʻi ʻana ma waena o 1.25 a me 1.50 pakeneka i kēia makahiki. ʻOi aku ka haʻahaʻa o kēia ma mua o ka manaʻo o nā mea hoʻopukapuka kālā he nui i kēia manawa. Hōʻike pū ka manaʻo loiloi waena e hoʻokiʻekiʻe ka Fed i kāna helu waihona kālā i manaʻo ʻia mai kona pae kokoke i ka zero i kēia manawa a i kahi pae o 1.25-1.50 pakeneka ma ka hopena o 2022, e like me ʻelima mau piʻi kumu 25. Manaʻo nā mea hoʻopukapuka ʻaelike futures e pili ana i ka helu waihona kālā federal i kēia manawa e hoʻokiʻekiʻe ka Fed i nā kumukūʻai hōʻaiʻē ma kahi wikiwiki iki, me ka helu kulekele i hoʻonohonoho ʻia ma waena o 1.75 pakeneka a me 2.00 pakeneka ma ka hopena o ka makahiki. Mai ka hoʻomaka ʻana o covid-19, ʻaʻole i mālama nā wānana a ka Fed no ka hoʻokele waiwai o ʻAmelika me ka mea e hana nei. Ke hāʻule wikiwiki nei ka nele i ka hana, ke wikiwiki nei ka ulu ʻana, a ʻo ka mea nui loa paha, ke piʻi wikiwiki nei ka inflation ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia.